Question

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction56% (37.7% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 56%

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Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

United States

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Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

83%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Cybersecurity standards

Cyber-security regulation

United States

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

83%

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

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Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Comments

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?