Question
When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?
Total Forecasters14
Community Prediction2044-10-27 (2035-01-30 - 2061-03-22)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <2024-01-02 | 6.7% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2035 | — |
| median | 2044 | — |
| upper 75% | 2061 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2231-01-02 | 0.4% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 21, 2023
Closes:Jun 10, 2231
Scheduled resolution:Jun 11, 2231
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 21, 2023
Closes:Jun 10, 2231
Scheduled resolution:Jun 11, 2231
