Question

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

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Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2044-10-27 (2035-01-30 - 2061-03-22)

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community

<2024-01-02

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2231-01-02

...

6.7%

2035-01-30 23:39

2044-10-27 11:01

2061-03-22 01:13

0.4%

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Artificial gene synthesis

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

Comments

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Authors:

burner ForecastingUtility

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial gene synthesis

5 Of The Most Important Medical Breakthroughs Of 2024

Forbes•Dec 20, 2024

Nobel Prize-winning scientist reveals the gruesome way deadly 'mirror bacteria' could take over the human body - as scientists call for an urgent halt on all research on it

Daily Mail•Dec 21, 2024

Creating ‘Mirror Life’ Could Be Disastrous, Scientists Warn

Scientific American•Dec 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10-06

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

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When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

Make a Prediction

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

Comments

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?