Question

When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction2044-10

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<2024-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2231-01

...

6.7%

2035-01

2044-10

2061-03

0.4%

Authors:

burner ForecastingUtility

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Scheduled resolution:

Artificial gene synthesis

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

burner ForecastingUtility

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial gene synthesis

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When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

2028-10

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

189k

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When will the first human genome be artificially synthesized?

Make a Prediction

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

Comments

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?

When will a benchtop DNA synthesizer be available for sale that can synthesize DNA with the following lengths?

If a benchtop DNA synthesizer that can synthesize DNA with 5,000 bases is commercially available in 2030, what will be the cost of the cheapest model (in 2024 US dollars)?

How many benchtop DNA synthesizers will have been sold worldwide before 2030 that can synthesize DNA with the following base lengths?