Question

Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters74

Community Prediction70% (60% - 75%)

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50%

community: 70%

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Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

The New York Times

Artificial intelligence arms race

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Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

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Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

The New York Times

Artificial intelligence arms race

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Searching for the first great AI app

Verge•Dec 13, 2024

OpenAI is done with Shipmas and staring down daunting challenges for 2025

NBC•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will there be discussion in mainstream media about an AI arms race in March 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Comments

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?