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What will the most expensive AI training run be in the following years, in millions of USD?
7
10 comments
10
25 forecasters
Make a Prediction
Year
resolution
2023
178
Year
25th
median
75th
2024
219
...
368
...
544
...
2026
617
...
873
...
1k
...
2030
889
...
1k
...
1k
...
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
Probability Density
Cumulative Probability
weight:
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1k
60.28
127.7
213.7
0.2%
What was the final result?
178
Community Baseline Score
18.0
Community Peer Score
65.4
Additional Scores
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Forecast Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
2030
2026
2024
2023
Background Info
Authors:
will_aldred
Lawrence
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Business of AI
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
US dollar
OpenAI
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Authors:
will_aldred
Lawrence
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Business of AI
AI Training and Compute
AI Technical Benchmarks
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2023 Leaderboard
2021-2025 Leaderboard
US dollar
OpenAI
Submit Tags Feedback
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