Question
What percentage of the popular vote will the African National Congress get in the 2024 South African general election?
Resolved :Below lower bound45Total Forecasters23
Community Prediction45 (45 - 46.3)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <45 | 63.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <45 | — |
| median | <45 | — |
| upper 75% | 46.28 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >70 | 0.1% | — |
What was the final result?Below lower bound
Community Baseline Score
1.5
Community Peer Score
41.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Comments
? comments
Authors:
Opened:Jun 16, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
