Question

Will an armed conflict between Greece and/or Turkey and/or Cyprus cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2035?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction3.2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3.2%

median 3.2%mean 4.4%

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Greece

Turkey

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Representative Office to the United States

Turkish invasion of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Greece

Turkey

Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus Representative Office to the United States

Turkish invasion of Cyprus

Northern Cyprus

Territorial Disputes in the South China Sea

•Nov 11, 2024

Turkey Cuts Off Relations With Israel: Reports

Newsweek•Nov 13, 2024

Greek and Turkish coast guards aim to boost cooperation against migrant smuggling

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

20%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

Will armed conflicts between the United States and the People's Republic of China lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

44.5%