Question

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

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Total Forecasters73

Community Prediction6% (2% - 13.9%)

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50%

community: 6%

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Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

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Business of AI

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

Bureau of Labor Statistics

United States

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Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Business of AI

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

Bureau of Labor Statistics

United States

Mark Cuban says AI won't have much of an impact on jobs that require you to think

Business Insider•Dec 16, 2024

As 2025’s Demographic Cliff Looms, How Far Will College Enrollment Fall?

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

AI Companies Are Becoming The New Monopsonists That Will Control Work

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Comments

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?