Question

Will the percent of U.S. workers employed in white-collar jobs drop at least 2 percentage points below the 2022 level before 2026?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction7% (3% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7%

Authors:

dschwarz will_aldred

Opened:

Jun 20, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Mar 31, 2026

Business of AI

US Employment Projections

Artificial Intelligence

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Current Population Survey

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

As Meta, tech giants continue layoffs, why there's still hope for hiring in 2025

USA Today•Feb 16, 2025

America Sees Rise in People Quitting Their Jobs

Newsweek•Feb 18, 2025

White-Collar Jobs Are Disappearing

Newsweek•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Comments

? comments