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MetaculusM

Group

When will the following countries have open borders with all Schengen Area members?

3

9 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Albania

Serbia

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Moldova

Ukraine

Georgia

Make a Prediction

Country	25th	median	75th
Romania	2024-09-19 ...	2025-05-28 ...	2027-02-10 ...
Bulgaria	2024-09-15 ...	2025-05-18 ...	2027-04-21 ...
Cyprus	2032-08-17 ...	2034-02-27 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Albania	2034-11-23 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Montenegro	2032-04-19 ...	2034-04-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
North Macedonia	2032-05-02 ...	2034-04-03 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Serbia	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Bosnia and Herzegovina	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Moldova	2033-11-10 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Ukraine	2033-05-24 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Georgia	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Kosovo	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Turkey	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Ireland	2031-09-09 ...	2033-02-08 ...	2034-04-23 ...
United Kingdom	2033-10-30 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Armenia	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Belarus	2034-11-09 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...
Russia	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...	2035-01-11 ...

weight:

My Prediction

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2035-01-11

...

...

...

...

2024-09-19 19:29

2025-05-28 14:16

2027-02-10 12:33

0.1%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Georgia (country)

Georgia (U.S. state)

EU lets Bulgaria and Romania fully integrate into Europe’s ID-check-free travel zone

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

EU approves full Schengen membership for Bulgaria, Romania

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Syrians at Calais say they will STILL make the crossing to Britain despite Assad being toppled because UK 'has work and everything we need'

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Georgia (country)

Georgia (U.S. state)

EU lets Bulgaria and Romania fully integrate into Europe’s ID-check-free travel zone

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

EU approves full Schengen membership for Bulgaria, Romania

Al Jazeera•Dec 13, 2024

Syrians at Calais say they will STILL make the crossing to Britain despite Assad being toppled because UK 'has work and everything we need'

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch