Question

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters208

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Daniel B. Shapiro

Bahrain–Israel relations

Trump Organization plans a Trump Tower in Saudi Arabia, Eric Trump says

USA Today•Dec 13, 2024

FIFA prepares to give Saudi Arabia its biggest sports win yet as host of the 2034 World Cup

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Saudi Arabia Confirmed as 2034 World Cup Host Amid Human Rights Concerns

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

guff

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Daniel B. Shapiro

Bahrain–Israel relations

Trump Organization plans a Trump Tower in Saudi Arabia, Eric Trump says

USA Today•Dec 13, 2024

FIFA prepares to give Saudi Arabia its biggest sports win yet as host of the 2034 World Cup

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

Saudi Arabia Confirmed as 2034 World Cup Host Amid Human Rights Concerns

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

58%

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

62%

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

30%

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Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Comments

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran does not get a nuclear bomb by then?

Will Saudi Arabia normalize relations with Israel by 2031 if Iran gets a nuclear bomb by then?

Will the United States and Iran sign a new agreement restricting Iran's nuclear program before 2029?