Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will the next UK general election take place?

Resolved :Jul 4, 20242024-07-04
11
30
Total Forecasters70
Community Prediction2024-07-04 (2024-06-29 - 2024-07-10)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2025-06-29
...
...
...
...
2024-06-29 15:05
2024-07-04 23:56
2024-07-10 15:19
0.1%

What was the final result?Jul 4, 2024

Community Baseline Score
10.8
Community Peer Score
17.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
BrunoParga
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
UK general election
Conservative Party (UK)
Rishi Sunak
United Kingdom

Comments

? comments