Question

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction40.8% (35% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40.8%

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Jul 31, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Harvard University

Radcliffe College

United States Department of Education

Wesleyan University

Affirmative action in the United States

Supreme Court of the US

Crimson Tide: Only One-Third of Harvard Students Feel Comfortable Speaking About Controversial Subjects

Lew Rockwell•Feb 13, 2025

Steep Drop In Number Of Colleges Using Legacy Admissions, Finds Report

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Colleges Using Legacy Admissions Drop By More Than Half, Report Finds

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

61%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

65.6%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Jul 31, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Harvard University

Radcliffe College

United States Department of Education

Wesleyan University

Affirmative action in the United States

Supreme Court of the US

Crimson Tide: Only One-Third of Harvard Students Feel Comfortable Speaking About Controversial Subjects

Lew Rockwell•Feb 13, 2025

Steep Drop In Number Of Colleges Using Legacy Admissions, Finds Report

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Colleges Using Legacy Admissions Drop By More Than Half, Report Finds

Forbes•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

61%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

65.6%