Question

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction

40.8%

(35% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40.8%

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Jul 31, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 2, 2023

Harvard University

Radcliffe College

United States Department of Education

Wesleyan University

Affirmative action in the United States

Supreme Court of the US

Harvard Offers Free Tuition To Students Despite Claiming To Be Cash-Strapped

Daily Caller•Mar 18, 2025

Martin Luther King Jr. Had a Dream for Economic Affirmative Action. The Supreme Court Failed Him.

Slate•Mar 18, 2025

Harvard University Expands Free Tuition Aimed at Middle-Income Students

Breitbart•Mar 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Department of Justice or Education open a civil compliance investigation into whether diversity-related programs at Harvard constitute illegal discrimination or preferences before 2026?

60%

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

65.6%

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