Question

Will an attempted replication of LK-99 superconductivity be published before August 4, 2023?

Resolved :Yes

19 comments19

Total Forecasters117

Community Prediction52%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-27.5

Community Peer Score

4.2

median 52.0%mean 53.2%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Superconductor Frontiers

Electrical engineering

Superconductivity

Pharmacology

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

0.2%

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

0.1%

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2030?

Comments

? comments