Group

Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

9 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

2051

2041

2031

Make a Prediction

Year		My Prediction		Me
2051	42.6%

2041	28%

2031	12.4%

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Authors:

job85555

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

California

Gavin Newsom

How Taxes Would Change Under Democrat's Newest Proposal

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Outgoing Washington governor suggests ‘wealth tax’ to avoid cuts to education and police

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Bold plans for 'New California' state that would allow residents to separate from 'woke' blue cities

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?

Comments

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Authors:

job85555

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

California

Gavin Newsom

How Taxes Would Change Under Democrat's Newest Proposal

Newsweek•Dec 18, 2024

Outgoing Washington governor suggests ‘wealth tax’ to avoid cuts to education and police

Associated Press•Dec 18, 2024

Bold plans for 'New California' state that would allow residents to separate from 'woke' blue cities

Daily Mail•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

55%

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

45%

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Will California pass a wealth tax before the following years?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?

Comments

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?

Will California have a lower GDP per capita than at most nine countries in the world in 2050?

By 2032, will the California Constitution be amended to restrict the state's authority to set zoning policy?

How many congressional seats will California lose as a result of the 2030 census?