Question

Will a new highly-diamagnetic room-temperature material be found before 2025?

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Total Forecasters42

Community Prediction4%

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community: 4%

median 4.0%mean 6.8%

Authors:

evanbd

Opened:

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Superconductor Frontiers

Room-temperature superconductor

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

0.2%

Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

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Authors:

evanbd

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Superconductor Frontiers

Room-temperature superconductor

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Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductivity in LK-99?

0.2%

Will a lead-apatite class superconductor with a warm Tc be found before 2025?

Will a room-temperature and ambient-pressure superconductor be used in a commercial application before 2025?

0.1%