Question

Will 10-day out weather forecasting reach 60% accuracy before 2029?

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Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction80%

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50%

community: 80%

median 80.0%mean 74.7%

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exoplanet_emma

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Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

50%

Predict 0.1%—99.9% With Decimal Forecasting

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Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

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Will an AI model be developed before 2030 that can accurately predict local weather patterns up to 6 months in advance?

Will National Hurricane Center 48 hour annual average track error for Atlantic Basin tropical storms and hurricanes be 30 nautical miles or less for any year before 2031?

50%