Question

Will Luisa González receive the most votes in the first round of the Ecuadorian election?

Resolved :Yes

9 comments9

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction75%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 75%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

55.9

Community Peer Score

3.4

median 75.0%mean 73.9%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Guillermo Lasso

Elections in Ecuador

Citizen Revolution Movement

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Politics

Guillermo Lasso

Elections in Ecuador

Citizen Revolution Movement

At least 15 dead as inmates clash at notorious Ecuadorian prison

CNN•Nov 13, 2024

Inmate wars leave at least 15 prisoners dead at one of the world's most notorious jails

Daily Mail•Nov 13, 2024

11_Fifteen killed in new Ecuador jail massacre

Korea Herald•Nov 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the next president of Ecuador remain in office through the end of their term?

91%

Who will win the 2025 election for President of Ecuador?

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

79%