Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction19%

Make a Prediction

community: 19%

median 19.0%mean 24.1%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

67%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

Encircling Taiwan was a smokescreen for China's real goal of convincing US not to intervene, expert says

FOX News•Oct 20, 2024

US, Canadian Warships Sail Through the Taiwan Strait

AntiWar•Oct 22, 2024

Taiwan downplays threat as China holds live-fire drills around island

Independent•Oct 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

67%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%