Question

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters70

Community Prediction19%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

median 19.0%mean 24.1%

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

People's Liberation Army

China

Ukraine–NATO relations

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will Japan respond with military forces?

52%

If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the US respond with military force?

61%

If there are 100 deaths in conflict between China and Taiwan before 2050, will Taiwan receive direct military support from allied nations?

80%