MetaculusM

Question

Will a terrorist attack in Sweden cause at least one death before 2031?

7

Total Forecasters53

Community Prediction94% (90% - 97%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 94%

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 24, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Swedish Security Service

UK Threat Levels

Will any Swedish politician defend the one group terrorised by the Örebro gun massacre?

Guardian•Feb 12, 2025

Sweden School Campus Shooting: 'Around 10 Killed'—Police

Newsweek•Feb 15, 2025

Around 10 people killed in attack outside a school for adults in Sweden.

USA Today•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Aug 24, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Swedish Security Service

UK Threat Levels

Will any Swedish politician defend the one group terrorised by the Örebro gun massacre?

Guardian•Feb 12, 2025

Sweden School Campus Shooting: 'Around 10 Killed'—Police

Newsweek•Feb 15, 2025

Around 10 people killed in attack outside a school for adults in Sweden.

USA Today•Feb 15, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch