🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin make a public appearance before 23 February 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
12
14
Total Forecasters156
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
99.1
Community Peer Score
0.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Gaia
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Wagner Group
Yevgeny Prigozhin

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