Question

Will China operate at least one military base in a BRICS country before 2026?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction50% (20% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

Clearview

Opened:

Aug 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

BRICS

China

United States Intelligence Community

China–Djibouti relations

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Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?

75%

Will the Solomon Islands host a Chinese military base before 2032?

25%

Will China launch a military invasion of any country other than Taiwan before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Clearview

Opened:

Aug 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2026

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

BRICS

China

United States Intelligence Community

China–Djibouti relations

China Sends Ominous Warning With Warships Near Australian Coast

Newsweek•Mar 1, 2025

Front-Line NATO Member Issues Warning About China's Ambitions in Arctic

Newsweek•Mar 3, 2025

Map Shows Chinese Warships Encircling US Ally in Pacific

Newsweek•Mar 3, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any member country leave BRICS before 2035?

75%

Will the Solomon Islands host a Chinese military base before 2032?

25%