Question

Will a proof-of-concept experiment for space-based carbon capture be successfully completed before 2031?

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Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction5% (2% - 11.1%)

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50%

community: 5%

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

International Space Station

Rocket Propulsion Establishment

Carbon capture and storage

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Aerospace engineering

NASA scrapped its $11 billion scheme to grab Mars rocks that may point to alien life. Now it has a faster, cheaper plan.

Business Insider•Jan 21, 2025

The Fate of NASA’s Mars Sample Return Program May Be Decided in 2026

Scientific American•Jan 21, 2025

Mars samples that could help us find alien life are stuck there until at least 2035, NASA says

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

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Carbon capture: will there be a miniaturized assay to measure CO₂ absorption of water-based solvents before 2028?

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

exoplanet_emma

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space Technology & Climate

Environment & Climate

Environmental science

International Space Station

Rocket Propulsion Establishment

Carbon capture and storage

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Aerospace engineering

NASA scrapped its $11 billion scheme to grab Mars rocks that may point to alien life. Now it has a faster, cheaper plan.

Business Insider•Jan 21, 2025

The Fate of NASA’s Mars Sample Return Program May Be Decided in 2026

Scientific American•Jan 21, 2025

Mars samples that could help us find alien life are stuck there until at least 2035, NASA says

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Carbon capture: will there be a miniaturized assay to measure CO₂ absorption of water-based solvents before 2028?

Will 0.5 Gt of atmospheric CO2 be removed annually using enhanced rock weathering before 2040?

22%

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?