Question

Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 7.6%

Authors:

aoeiur

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador

United States

Drug cartel

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

aoeiur

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador

United States

Drug cartel

Mexican cartels give members 'permission' to shoot US Border Patrol agents as Biden-Harris crisis spirals

Daily Mail•Oct 21, 2024

A U.S. Reset With Mexico Is Still Possible

Foreign Affairs•Oct 21, 2024

Sinaloa Cartel leaders permit members to shoot at US Border Patrol agents: report

New York Post•Oct 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%