Question

Will the US deploy military forces in Mexico without the cooperation of the Mexican government before 2029?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 7.6%

Authors:

aoeiur

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador

United States

Drug cartel

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

65%

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

aoeiur

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Andrés Manuel López Obrador

United States

Drug cartel

Round 2 in the Trump-vs-Mexico matchup looks ominous for Mexico

Associated Press•Nov 11, 2024

Mexican Cartels Will Control The Border And Mexico’s Judges

Federalist•Nov 11, 2024

Five Things Donald Trump Has Said About Mexican Cartels

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

65%

Will the Insurrection Act be invoked before 2025?

Will the US President’s ability to deploy military force be further restricted by 2030?

25%