Question

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

23 comments23

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction39% (24% - 50%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 39%

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Majority of US workers are satisfied with their jobs, but nearly a third are not happy with their pay

CNN•Dec 11, 2024

US applications for jobless benefits rise to highest level in 2 months but remain relatively low

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

txmerritt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

United States

Bureau of Labor Statistics

Majority of US workers are satisfied with their jobs, but nearly a third are not happy with their pay

CNN•Dec 11, 2024

US applications for jobless benefits rise to highest level in 2 months but remain relatively low

Associated Press•Dec 13, 2024

There's a sign flashing in the labor market that the US may be slipping into a recession, SocGen says

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

0.1%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will the US unemployment rate reach 10% before 2031?

Make a Prediction

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Comments

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US unemployment rate exceed 5% before 2025?

US unemployment rate 10% before 2031? → Civil Unrest or Rioting in US Before 2031?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?