🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US see a large-scale riot in 2023 or 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
8
29
Total Forecasters69
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
76.8
Community Peer Score
15.9
Authors:
IYJgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2021-2025 Leaderboard
1992 Los Angeles riots
United States
Washington, D.C.

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