Question

Will the United Auto Workers call a strike against any of the Big Three Detroit automakers before September 19, 2023?

Resolved :Yes

22 comments22

Total Forecasters79

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

30.5

Community Peer Score

14.2

median 85.0%mean 83.4%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

United Auto Workers

Detroit

Big Three (automobile manufacturers)

Ford Motor Company

General Motors

What percentage of American workers will be represented by a labor union in 2030?

12.2

ILA dockworkers' strike: Will monthly cargo volumes at the Port of NY–NJ be equal or higher than the same month last year?

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

54%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

🏆 Q3 2023 Quarterly Cup 🏆

Economy & Business

United Auto Workers

Detroit

Big Three (automobile manufacturers)

Ford Motor Company

General Motors

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New contract talks between East Coast dockworkers, port operators fail to make significant progress: ‘Would move our industry backward’

New York Post•Nov 14, 2024

Flurry of contract deals come as railroads, unions see Trump’s election looming over talks

Associated Press•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of American workers will be represented by a labor union in 2030?

12.2

ILA dockworkers' strike: Will monthly cargo volumes at the Port of NY–NJ be equal or higher than the same month last year?

Will a legacy automaker go bankrupt before 2030?

54%