Question

Will Ukraine lose non-Crimean territory by February 2029, compared to 2013?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters88

Community Prediction99%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

median 99.0%mean 90.7%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Autonomous Republic of Crimea

Zaporizhia

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Ukraine

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Autonomous Republic of Crimea

Zaporizhia

Annexation of Crimea by the Russian Federation

Ukraine

The Impact of the US Election For Ukraine- Can Trump do a Deal With Putin on Ukraine?

Lew Rockwell•Nov 15, 2024

Ukraine latest: Bad news mounts for Ukraine across the frontlines. But Russia is under pressure too

CNN•Nov 16, 2024

Zelensky says Ukraine war 'will end sooner' now Donald Trump is US President - and says 'we must ensure the war ends this year'

Daily Mail•Nov 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

2024 US Presidential Election Winner? (Donald Trump) → Ukrainian territory lost in 2029?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%