Question

Will Ukraine join NATO before 2035?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters146

Community Prediction19% (7% - 32.2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 19%

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Sep 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Ukraine–NATO relations

Ukraine

NATO

Hegseth: No NATO Membership for Ukraine

American Conservative•Feb 12, 2025

Why Isn’t Ukraine in NATO?

New York Times•Feb 14, 2025

Plans for Ukraine to Join EU, NATO 'Suicidal': Moscow

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

17%

Will Ukraine join the Union State before 2040?

Will Ukraine launch a nuclear weapons program before 2026?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

skmmcj

Opened:

Sep 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Ukraine–NATO relations

Ukraine

NATO

Hegseth: No NATO Membership for Ukraine

American Conservative•Feb 12, 2025

Why Isn’t Ukraine in NATO?

New York Times•Feb 14, 2025

Plans for Ukraine to Join EU, NATO 'Suicidal': Moscow

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine join the EU before 2030?

17%