Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

16
14
Total Forecasters169
Community Prediction2% (1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
TimeTraveller34
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Donetsk
Luhansk
Russo-Ukrainian War
Kherson
War in Donbass
Mariupol
Donetsk Oblast
Luhansk Oblast
Kherson Oblast
Russia under Vladimir Putin

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