Question

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

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Community Prediction52.4% (30% - 66%)

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Authors:

jleibowich will_aldred

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Artificial Intelligence

Institute of American Indian Arts

Holden Karnofsky

International Atomic Energy Agency

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Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

jleibowich will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Institute of American Indian Arts

Holden Karnofsky

International Atomic Energy Agency

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

Which AI Companies Are the Safest—and Least Safe?

Time•Dec 13, 2024

Current and former OpenAI employees warn of AI's 'serious risks' and lack of oversight

CNBC•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

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Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Comments

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?