Question

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

3 comments3

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction59%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 59%

median 59.0%mean 50.6%

Authors:

jleibowich will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Institute of American Indian Arts

Holden Karnofsky

International Atomic Energy Agency

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%

Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?

Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?

Comments

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Authors:

jleibowich will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial Intelligence

Institute of American Indian Arts

Holden Karnofsky

International Atomic Energy Agency

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Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

62%