Group
Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?
Forecast Timeline
Make a Prediction
| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 | 66% | |||
2028 | 55% | |||
2025 | yes | |||
2024 | no | |||
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028