Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will LLaMA-3 be released?

Resolved :Apr 18, 20242024-04-23
6
7
Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction2024-04-23 (2024-04-10 - 2024-05-07)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2027-01-01
...
...
...
...
2024-04-10 20:17
2024-04-23 01:22
2024-05-07 18:56
0.1%

What was the final result?Apr 18, 2024

Community Baseline Score
10.1
Community Peer Score
4.0
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Rocket
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Meta

Comments

? comments