Question

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

Resolved :No1%

33 comments33

Total Forecasters129

Community Prediction1% (0.8% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

40.3

Community Peer Score

30.0

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Oct 13, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 9, 2024

Hezbollah–Israel conflict

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