M

Question

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

Resolved :No
10
33
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
40.3
Community Peer Score
30.0
median 1.0%mean 5.2%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Geopolitics
Hamas
Israel
Hezbollah
Hezbollah–Israel conflict
2006 Lebanon War

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