Question

When will a country completely ban civilian tobacco consumption/smoking?

Total Forecasters13

Community Prediction2034-08-13 (2030-02-23 - 2040-04-17)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2049-12-31
community	Feb 2030	Aug 2034	Apr 2040	7.7%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Feb 2030	—
median	Aug 2034	—
upper 75%	Apr 2040	—
Upper bound
>2049-12-31	7.7%	—

Authors:

bohaska

Opened:

Oct 26, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 2, 2050

Experts raise alarm over disturbing new condition triggered by vaping

Daily Mail•Feb 11, 2025

The surprising way scientists say smokers can ease nicotine withdrawal

New York Post•Feb 13, 2025

Lung cancer diagnoses on the rise among never-smokers worldwide

Guardian•Feb 16, 2025

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