Question

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters11

Community Prediction3.71k

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>20k

...

1.79k

3.71k

7.04k

0.6%

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2047-06

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.03

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DavidHume

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

Self-driving car

Automation

Driver fatigue likely led to Arizona crash that killed 2 bicyclists and injured 14, NTSB says

Associated Press•Oct 2, 2024

Pedestrian deaths, SUVs: A proposed rule could finally change things.

Slate•Oct 2, 2024

Uber and Lyft drivers use Teslas as makeshift robotaxis, raising safety concerns

One America•Oct 3, 2024

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When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-10

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

2047-06

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

4.03

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How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

Make a Prediction

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

Comments

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

What will be the first year when less than 25% of 20 to 24 year olds in the US have a driver's license?

On January 1, 2026, in how many US states will Waymo's rider-only ride-hailing service be available to the general public?