Question

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters40

Community Prediction3.7% (2.9% - 5.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3.7%

Authors:

NMorrison NathanpmYoung ForkLeaf

Opened:

Nov 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

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Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

25%

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%

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