Question

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2030?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction5%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 5%

median 5.0%mean 8.0%

Authors:

NMorrison NathanpmYoung ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

25%

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison NathanpmYoung ForkLeaf

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Technology

Iran

List of aircraft carriers of the United States Navy

Landing helicopter dock

Nuclear-powered aircraft carriers would give China's growing navy new reach, and researchers say it's working on the reactor to power one

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Report: China Builds ‘Prototype’ Nuclear Reactor for Aircraft Carrier

Breitbart•Nov 13, 2024

Map Shows US and China's Aircraft Carriers in Pacific This Week

Newsweek•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?

25%

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

58.5%