Question

Will there be United Nations peacekeeping troops in Gaza on May 31, 2024?

Resolved :No

5 comments5

Total Forecasters100

Community Prediction2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

80.2

Community Peer Score

15.9

median 2.0%mean 4.7%

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Pulse Tournament

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

United Nations

Gaza Strip

United Nations peacekeeping

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

16%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Global Pulse Tournament

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

United Nations Security Council

United Nations

Gaza Strip

United Nations peacekeeping

Israel boosts aid to war-torn Gaza, but is it enough as the Biden admin's deadline for military support looms?

CBS•Nov 11, 2024

Aid groups accuse Israel of ignoring US ultimatum on ‘apocalyptic’ Gaza crisis

Guardian•Nov 13, 2024

Israeli Military Planning To Stay in Gaza Through 2025

AntiWar•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

16%