Question

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters61

Community Prediction16%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

median 16.0%mean 17.4%

Authors:

JimKat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Human Rights Watch accuses Israel of mass displacement in Gaza amounting to a war crime

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

Israeli Military Planning To Stay in Gaza Through 2025

AntiWar•Nov 14, 2024

Israel accused of crimes against humanity over forced displacement in Gaza

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?

Comments

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Authors:

JimKat

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Human Rights Watch accuses Israel of mass displacement in Gaza amounting to a war crime

CNN•Nov 14, 2024

Israeli Military Planning To Stay in Gaza Through 2025

AntiWar•Nov 14, 2024

Israel accused of crimes against humanity over forced displacement in Gaza

Guardian•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Who will have de facto power in the Gaza Strip on January 1, 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

Will any two countries out of the US, UK, Germany, Canada, France, or Australia curtail diplomatic ties with Israel before 2025, citing Israel’s military actions in Gaza?