Question
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have at least 20% of the market cap that TSMC has in 2028?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction30% (15% - 36%)
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Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
55%
Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?
70%
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
80%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will any Chinese semiconductor foundry have 20% or more global semiconductor market share before 2033?
55%
Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?
70%
Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?
80%