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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

Forecast Timeline

≤5 nm

≤3 nm

≤2 nm

Make a Prediction

Candidates		My Prediction		Me
≤5 nm	98%

≤3 nm	81%

≤2 nm	28.3%

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Nvidia

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation

Samsung Electronics

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

72%

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

80%

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

DerMannOhneEigenschaften

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Nvidia

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation

Samsung Electronics

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Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

72%

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

80%

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Will a Chinese fab achieve volume production at <N nm nodes before 2030?

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Comments

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?

Will a Chinese fab achieve a process with a density of greater than 150M transistors per square millimeter by 2027?

Will a Chinese fab have a volume production process that uses EUV photolithography before 2033?

Will the following Chinese SME firms have a higher market cap than any of ASML, Applied Materials, or Lam Research in 2033?