Question

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction33% (6% - 38.3%)

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50%

community: 33%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Morocco

Algeria

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Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Morocco

Algeria

Is Francafrique ending? Why Senegal is cutting military ties with France

Al Jazeera•Dec 16, 2024

Burkina Faso releases four French nationals after detaining them for a year

Associated Press•Dec 19, 2024

Syria Conflict: Positive Peace in a Besieged Nation

•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

25%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

20%

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

24%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Iran and Azerbaijan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?