Question

Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters17

Community Prediction25% (14% - 31.6%)

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50%

community: 25%

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Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

2017 Afghanistan–Pakistan border skirmish

Afghanistan

2 bus crashes in Afghanistan leave dozens dead, dozens more hurt

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

REVEALED: How many Americans think the world is edging toward WWIII

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

At least 30 children die from drug shortages in Pakistan after sectarian violence

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

30%

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Joker

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Pakistan

2017 Afghanistan–Pakistan border skirmish

Afghanistan

2 bus crashes in Afghanistan leave dozens dead, dozens more hurt

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

REVEALED: How many Americans think the world is edging toward WWIII

Daily Mail•Dec 16, 2024

At least 30 children die from drug shortages in Pakistan after sectarian violence

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

30%

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

83%

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

33%

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Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Make a Prediction

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Comments

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will state-based conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?

Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?

Will state-based conflict between Morocco and Algeria cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?