🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

Total Forecasters130
Community Prediction1.7% (0.1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1.7%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:

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