🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

What type of research group will develop the first transformative AI?

18
7
72 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

TypeMe
For-profit
80%
Government
10%
Non-profit
5%
University
3%
Open-source community
3%
Other
1%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
AGI Outcomes
Situational Awareness
Future of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Ethics
Anthropic
Government
University of California, Berkeley

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