Question

Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters28

Community Prediction33%

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50%

community: 33%

median 33.0%mean 47.4%

Authors:

will_aldred fist

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Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

53%

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

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Authors:

will_aldred fist

Opened:

Closes:

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Amazon attempts to lure AI researchers with $110M in grants and credits

TechCrunch•Nov 12, 2024

Intel is far from becoming the American chipmaking powerhouse the US needs

Business Insider•Nov 13, 2024

Amazon Unveils AI Chip Ramping Up Competition with Nvidia

Breitbart•Nov 15, 2024

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Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?

99%

If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?

53%