Question
Question
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2027, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using primarily Chinese AI chips?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction53.8%
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median 53.8%mean 58.6%
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Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99%
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?
33%
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute?
24%
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
99%
Will a Chinese firm make a large order of U.S. or U.S.-allied AI chips before 2027?
33%
If at least one frontier AI model has been trained by a Chinese firm before 2025, will a Chinese frontier AI model have been trained using US cloud compute?
24%