Question

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

123 comments123

Total Forecasters215

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 8.0%

Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%

Comments

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Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Armed Forces of Ukraine

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

25%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

67%