Question

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

123 comments123

Total Forecasters221

Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%

community: 0.1%

Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

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Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Russia intensifies assaults on Ukraine ahead of Trump’s inauguration

Al Jazeera•Dec 14, 2024

The Ukraine War Isn't Over Yet, but the Fat Lady Is Clearing Her Throat

PJ Media•Dec 14, 2024

Mapped: Where has Russia made advances on the frontline in Ukraine?

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

80%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison AngraMainyu Eikonal skmmcj

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Armed Forces of Ukraine

Russia intensifies assaults on Ukraine ahead of Trump’s inauguration

Al Jazeera•Dec 14, 2024

The Ukraine War Isn't Over Yet, but the Fat Lady Is Clearing Her Throat

PJ Media•Dec 14, 2024

Mapped: Where has Russia made advances on the frontline in Ukraine?

Independent•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

23%

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

80%

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Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2025?

Make a Prediction

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Comments

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?

Will Ukraine have de-facto control over the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts before January 1st, 2030?

Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?

Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?