🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight in January 2024?

Resolved :No58%
27
52
Total Forecasters248
Community Prediction58% (50% - 65%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 58%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-5.2
Community Peer Score
21.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jleibowich
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q1 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
2024 Leaderboard
Doomsday Clock
Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists
Scientific consensus on climate change
Public policy
Innovation
Climatology
Environmental science

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