Question

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

Resolved :No0.8%

34 comments34

Total Forecasters485

Community Prediction0.8% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.8

Community Peer Score

41.5

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024 Leaderboard

Codeforces

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024 Leaderboard

Codeforces

Anthropic launches a new AI model that ‘thinks’ as long as you want

TechCrunch•Feb 25, 2025

Anthropic’s new ‘hybrid reasoning’ AI model is its smartest yet

Verge•Feb 25, 2025

Anthropic used Pokémon to benchmark its newest AI model

TechCrunch•Feb 25, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-02-28

When will an AI program be better than humans at making Metaculus forecasts?

2031-03-13

When will an open-source AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

2026-04-07