Question

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

31 comments31

Total Forecasters481

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 5.4%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Codeforces

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Red State•Nov 13, 2024

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When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-02-25

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When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-02-22

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Codeforces

Super Intelligent AI Might Be Online by 2025. Not Terrified? You Should Be

Red State•Nov 13, 2024

OpenAI reportedly plans to launch an AI agent early next year

Verge•Nov 14, 2024

Operator will be with you shortly: OpenAI’s PC controlling AI agent coming in January 2025

•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-02-25

AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024? → Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-02-22