Question

Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?

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Total Forecasters483

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 2%)

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50%

community: 1%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

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Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024 Leaderboard

Codeforces

OpenAI’s o3 suggests AI models are scaling in new ways — but so are the costs

TechCrunch•Dec 24, 2024

OpenAI Upgrades Its Smartest AI Model With Improved Reasoning Skills

Wired•Dec 21, 2024

An AI system has reached human level on a test for ‘general intelligence’. Here’s what that means

The Conversation•Dec 24, 2024

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When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-01-09

AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024? → Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-03-18

Comments

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

2024 Leaderboard

Codeforces

OpenAI’s o3 suggests AI models are scaling in new ways — but so are the costs

TechCrunch•Dec 24, 2024

OpenAI Upgrades Its Smartest AI Model With Improved Reasoning Skills

Wired•Dec 21, 2024

An AI system has reached human level on a test for ‘general intelligence’. Here’s what that means

The Conversation•Dec 24, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI)?

2026-01-09

AI Wins Coding Competition in 2024? → Frontier Open-Source AI? (2025)

When will an AI be able to solve over 80% of competition-level coding problems on its first try?

2027-03-18