Question

Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?

Resolved :No1%

22 comments22

Total Forecasters366

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 11%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

41.8

Community Peer Score

34.4

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 1, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2025

ACX 2024 Prediction Contest

Bezos’ SpaceX rival Blue Origin to lay off 10 percent of its workforce

Independent•Feb 13, 2025

Blue Origin cuts 10% of staff one month after first successful New Glenn launch

TechCrunch•Feb 13, 2025

Blue Origin is laying off around 10 percent of workers

Verge•Feb 14, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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